Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.536614 0.617091 0.705009 0.808120 0.925670 1.055443 1.209515
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.439326 0.552449 0.686804 0.857850 1.069534 1.322637 1.647976
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.362855 0.495429 0.665424 0.898666 1.209622 1.609122 2.160531
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.306780 0.452177 0.652328 0.946565 1.366527 1.942581 2.790719
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.253294 0.401197 0.618797 0.959953 1.478684 2.234537 3.415443
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.217091 0.367639 0.603204 0.995119 1.626659 2.599106 4.202712
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.180592 0.325910 0.566959 0.991120 1.712949 2.883310 4.912926
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.155976 0.298709 0.548693 1.012052 1.841340 3.251314 5.811944
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.129950 0.263548 0.510094 0.990441 1.892514 3.497096 6.541522
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.116787 0.249681 0.506977 1.031651 2.061118 3.968937 7.734977
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.106936 0.240288 0.510398 1.085283 2.260474 4.523182 9.157351
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.093791 0.221332 0.491376 1.090697 2.365817 4.913847 10.322140
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.081678 0.202449 0.469738 1.088224 2.457438 5.296028 11.537458
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.071604 0.186146 0.450764 1.088257 2.554559 5.703692 12.865927
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.063452 0.172736 0.435870 1.094849 2.667172 6.159942 14.363954
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.057623 0.163925 0.430162 1.121916 2.830735 6.749652 16.238455
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.050862 0.151197 0.412551 1.116941 2.917901 7.180375 17.815020
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.046485 0.144043 0.407733 1.143281 3.085520 7.819745 19.966117
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.040937 0.132308 0.388690 1.129120 3.148755 8.219414 21.598601
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.037302 0.125454 0.381687 1.146260 3.296250 8.845725 23.876666
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.032549 0.114046 0.359673 1.117540 3.316038 9.153158 25.389983
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.030607 0.111266 0.362389 1.160762 3.541989 10.025151 28.491135
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.029217 0.110027 0.369572 1.218660 3.819094 11.070370 32.193924